基于加权网络模型的指挥节点重要度评估方法

指挥节点重要度评估是研究指挥网络可靠性和抗毁性的重要内容。通过定义加权网络节点重要度贡献矩阵,提出了一种利用节点重要度评价矩阵确定加权网络关键节点的相对重要度的方法,该方法能充分考虑节点的位置信息、邻接节点的重要度贡献关系;结合作战任务对社区的依赖度,设计了节点全局重要度评估算法,并利用该算法对典型网络节点重要度进行了分析,结果表明算法有效、可行。     

军事通信领域上下文本体建模及不确定性推理

为支持军事通信业务的智能化,研究了军事通信业务上下文信息的表示和推理,提出了一种表示业务上下文信息的语法结构、语义以及上下文元信息的本体建模方法。并利用贝叶斯网络理论,提出了一种支持不确定性推理的业务上下文认知模型的构建方法,最后通过案例分析验证了模型和结论的合理性。     

Revenue management with aircraft reassignment flexibility

A well‐studied problem in airline revenue management is the optimal allocation of seat inventory among different fare‐classes, given a capacity for the flight and a demand distribution for each class. In practice, capacity on a flight does not have to be fixed; airlines can exercise some flexibility on the supply side by swapping aircraft of different capacities between flights as partial booking information is gathered. This provides the airline with the capability to more effectively match their supply and demand. In this paper, we study the seat inventory control problem considering the aircraft swapping option. For theoretical and practical purposes, we restrict our attention to the class of booking limit policies. Our analytical results demonstrate that booking limits considering the swapping option can be considerably different from those under fixed capacity. We also show that principles on the relationship between the optimal booking limits and demand characteristics (size and risk) developed for the fixed‐capacity problem no longer hold when swapping is an option. We develop new principles and insights on how demand characteristics affect the optimal booking limits under the swapping possibility. We also develop an easy to implement heuristic for determining the booking limits under the swapping option and show, through a numerical study, that the heuristic generates revenues close to those under the optimal booking limits. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

基于LS-SVM的飞机保障性预测评估建模

针对飞机保障性预测评估建模难的问题,基于统计学习理论,采用LS-SVM方法,建立了飞机保障性的预测模型。仿真试验结果表明,LS-SVM具有很高的建模精度和较强的泛化能力,从而验证了该方法的有效性和先进性。     

Monitoring poisson count data with probability control limits when sample sizes are time varying

This article considers the problem of monitoring Poisson count data when sample sizes are time varying without assuming a priori knowledge of sample sizes. Traditional control charts, whose control limits are often determined before the control charts are activated, are constructed based on perfect knowledge of sample sizes. In practice, however, future sample sizes are often unknown. Making an inappropriate assumption of the distribution function could lead to unexpected performance of the control charts, for example, excessive false alarms in the early runs of the control charts, which would in turn hurt an operator's confidence in valid alarms. To overcome this problem, we propose the use of probability control limits, which are determined based on the realization of sample sizes online. The conditional probability that the charting statistic exceeds the control limit at present given that there has not been a single alarm before can be guaranteed to meet a specified false alarm rate. Simulation studies show that our proposed control chart is able to deliver satisfactory run length performance for any time‐varying sample sizes. The idea presented in this article can be applied to any effective control charts such as the exponentially weighted moving average or cumulative sum chart. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 625–636, 2013     

基于非概率理论的混合不确定性结构可靠性分析方法

摘要: 针对不确定性结构可靠性分析中的输入变量分布参数具有不确定性和输入变量为区间模型的混合不确定性结构展开研究。考虑可用信息最少的情况,将分布参数的不确定性描述为区间模型。通过等概率转换方法将随机变量与其分布参数进行分离,使问题转化为随机与区间变量混合的可靠性问题,建立了混合不确定性问题的可靠性分析模型。基于非概率可靠性理论,建立混合不确定结构分析模型的二级极限状态函数并结合Kriging代理模型建立了高效的求解方法。此外,将所建立的混合不确定模型应用于飞行器结构的不确定性分析中,验证所建模型的合理性和所提方法的高效性和准确性。     

Boltzmann 方程求解方法综述

本文论述了Ｂｏｌｔｚｍａｎｎ方程的求解方法，在分析了各类求解方法的优缺点之后指出目前Ｍｏｎｔｅ－Ｃａｒｌｏ直接模拟方法是解决稀薄气体动力学问题的最佳方法。     

交互式增广加权范数法及其应用

本文提出利用增广加权范数把多目标优化问题转化为标量优化问题,证明了转化后的问题与原问题完全等价,同时给出了目标函数值与权系数的关系,建立了以目标函数值作为交互媒介的多目标优化方法,最后给出了应用该方法的一个实例。     

非匹配摄动系统协方差矩阵的定界估计

基于Ｌｙａｐｕｎｏｖ 稳定性理论,在系统矩阵及噪声输入矩阵均存在非匹配摄动的一般情形下,研究随机系统稳态状态协方差的定界估计问题,通过求解两个代数Ｒｉｃｃａｔｉ方程,给出了该协方差矩阵上下界的估计式,并提供了一个说明性算例     

用加权余量法求解弹性机构的稳态响应

在机构的运动弹性动力分析中,稳态响应的求解已有了多种方法。本文通过分析、比较,提出了用加权余量法求解弹性机构稳态响应的思想,并给出了两种基本算法。作为应用,本文还给出了两个算例,其中空间四杆RS'SR 机构为本文首次给出。